GLW Aug 14 2026 $150.00 CALLS
Published potential result
+319%
Stock move
GLW $135.22 $165.99 +22.8%
Stock's close before the alert (Jul 30) → Stock close at expiration (Aug 14)
Track record
Weekly option trade results
Published paper-tracked results since 2020, including wins and losses. Browse the contracts and recorded prices to explore how our research ideas developed.
Latest closed position: Oct 23, 2026 expiration · 18 open positions · Positions appear here once closed
Each closed result shows the stock, what it did after the alert, and its published potential result. Open any result to read Ian's original write-up from the day he published it.
1,016
Closed trades
86.3%
Closed at a potential gain
13.2%
Closed at a loss
+136%
Average potential gain
+83%
Median result
−60%
Worst published model result
4
Longest run of losses
443
Results of 100% or more
1,016 closed trades, 2020 to 2026: 877 winning, 134 losing, 5 flat.
How these figures are measured
Published percentages describe potential gains and losses on paper-tracked model positions. Every position we publish is a model position, tracked on paper against real delayed market quotes. We write alerts in the evening, while trading is closed. The entry is the recorded model entry, selected using the following trading day’s prices. Where no entry was recorded, the percentage is measured from the close before the alert, and the row says so. For model trades up to mid-July 2026, the exit is the exit price Ian recorded when the position closed. For model positions tracked since late July 2026, it is the highest price the option reached between entry and expiry, or the published 60 per cent stop, whichever came first. A position is recorded as a gain only if the option reached at least 20 per cent above the entry before the 60 per cent stop. If the stop came first, it is recorded at the stop. If it reached neither, it is recorded at its last price before expiry, or when the position closed. No member is claimed to have bought or sold at those prices. Best entry and peak exit prices are selected with hindsight; daily highs and lows alone do not establish their order within a session. A model stop does not guarantee an executable exit price. Losses appear beside wins. The figures exclude individual fills, fees, taxes and execution differences, and they show potential profit, never a return anyone received.
Recent closed alerts
Big runs and losses, side by side
INTC Oct 09 2026 $105.00 CALLS
Published potential result
+241.2%
Stock move
INTC $101.05 $127.39 +26.1%
Stock's close before the alert (Sep 16) → Stock close on model exit date (Sep 24)
TSLA Oct 02 2026 $400.00 CALLS
Published potential result
+230%
Stock move
TSLA $367.95 $376.37 +2.3%
Stock's close before the alert (Aug 31) → Stock close on model exit date (Sep 3)
SMCI Sep 25 2026 $32.00 CALLS
Published potential result
+198.7%
Stock move
SMCI $31.13 $43.26 +39.0%
Stock's close before the alert (Aug 7) → Stock close on model exit date (Sep 25)
SPCX Nov 06 2026 $165.00 CALLS
Published potential result
−60%
UBER Oct 23 2026 $75.00 CALLS
Published potential result
−60%
Stock move
UBER $72.56 $69.22 −4.6%
Stock's close before the alert (Sep 10) → Stock close on model exit date (Sep 24)
Follow a stock you know, compare different years, or download the published record to explore in your own spreadsheet.
How to read and explore the record →How these figures are measured
Every figure is a potential gain or loss on a paper-tracked model position measured against delayed market quotes, and your timing, fills, fees and taxes will affect your own result.
1016 results877 wins134 losses
| Date alerted | Trade | Stock move | Close before alert | Entry price | Model exit | Published potential result | Ian's write-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | SPCX Nov 06 2026 $165.00 CALLS | 7.65 | 4.70 | 1.88 | -60% | Ian's write-up in the member area | |
| Sep 30, 2026 | TSM Oct 23 2026 $500.00 CALLS | TSM $456.94 $485.80 +6.3% Stock's close before the alert (Sep 29) → Stock close on model exit date (Oct 5) | 3.85 | 3.66 | 9.60 | +162.3% | Ian's write-up in the member area |
| Sep 21, 2026 | AAPL Oct 09 2026 $340.00 CALLS | AAPL $336.13 $339.75 +1.1% Stock's close before the alert (Sep 18) → Stock close on model exit date (Sep 22) | 5.90 | 4.20 | 10.51 | +150.2% | Ian's write-up in the member area |
| Sep 17, 2026 | INTC Oct 09 2026 $105.00 CALLS | INTC $101.05 $127.39 +26.1% Stock's close before the alert (Sep 16) → Stock close on model exit date (Sep 24) | 4.79 | 6.55 | 22.35 | +241.2% | Ian's write-up in the member area |
| Sep 15, 2026 | ORCL Oct 23 2026 $150.00 CALLS | ORCL $144.79 $149.20 +3.0% Stock's close before the alert (Sep 14) → Stock close on model exit date (Sep 22) | 6.75 | 5.30 | 10.80 | +103.8% | Ian's write-up in the member area |
| Sep 11, 2026 | UBER Oct 23 2026 $75.00 CALLS | UBER $72.56 $69.22 −4.6% Stock's close before the alert (Sep 10) → Stock close on model exit date (Sep 24) | 2.80 | 2.17 | 0.87 | -60% | Ian's write-up in the member area |
| Sep 10, 2026 | DIS Oct 23 2026 $105.00 CALLS | DIS $104.18 $108.59 +4.2% Stock's close before the alert (Sep 9) → Stock close on model exit date (Sep 14) | 3.54 | 3.51 | 6.20 | +76.6% | Ian's write-up in the member area |
| Sep 9, 2026 | CRWV Oct 09 2026 $100.00 CALLS | CRWV $94.94 $88.45 −6.8% Stock's close before the alert (Sep 9) → Stock close on model exit date (Oct 7) | 6.35 | 4.05 | 1.62 | -60% | Ian's write-up in the member area |
| Sep 7, 2026 | AVGO Oct 02 2026 $380.00 CALLS | AVGO $357.90 $368.56 +3.0% Stock's close before the alert (Sep 4) → Stock close on model exit date (Sep 8) | 6.64 | 8.75 | 12.40 | +41.7% | Ian's write-up in the member area |
| Sep 7, 2026 | EPD Oct 09 2026 $40.00 CALLS | EPD $38.94 $39.32 +1.0% Stock's close before the alert (Sep 4) → Stock close on model exit date (Sep 9) | 0.42 | 0.35 | 0.52 | +48.6% | Ian's write-up in the member area |
| Sep 7, 2026 | ANET Oct 02 2026 $200.00 CALLS | ANET $193.78 $206.55 +6.6% Stock's close before the alert (Sep 4) → Stock close on model exit date (Sep 25) | 6.65 | 9.00 | 13.00 | +44.4% | Ian's write-up in the member area |
| Sep 3, 2026 | MSFT Oct 02 2026 $520.00 CALLS | MSFT $496.82 $510.12 +2.7% Stock's close before the alert (Sep 2) → Stock close on model exit date (Sep 3) | 5.80 | 8.06 | 12.75 | +58.2% | Ian's write-up in the member area |
| Sep 1, 2026 | TSLA Oct 02 2026 $400.00 CALLS | TSLA $367.95 $376.37 +2.3% Stock's close before the alert (Aug 31) → Stock close on model exit date (Sep 3) | 7.59 | 4.00 | 13.20 | +230% | Ian's write-up in the member area |
| Aug 31, 2026 | SPCX Oct 02 2026 $145.00 CALLS | SPCX $141.50 $158.96 +12.3% Stock's close before the alert (Aug 28) → Stock close on model exit date (Oct 2) | 6.85 | 6.95 | 14.65 | +110.8% | Ian's write-up in the member area |
| Aug 27, 2026 | HOOD Oct 02 2026 $115.00 CALLS | HOOD $108.54 $124.72 +14.9% Stock's close before the alert (Aug 26) → Stock close on model exit date (Sep 3) | 6.00 | 7.10 | 14.60 | +105.6% | Ian's write-up in the member area |
| Aug 25, 2026 | COIN Sep 18 2026 $200.00 CALLS | COIN $179.48 $190.72 +6.3% Stock's close before the alert (Aug 24) → Stock close on model exit date (Aug 27) | 5.90 | 4.84 | 10.50 | +116.9% | Ian's write-up in the member area |
| Aug 24, 2026 | SOUN Oct 02 2026 $7.50 CALLS | SOUN $7.32 $7.11 −2.9% Stock's close before the alert (Aug 21) → Stock close on model exit date (Aug 28) | 0.62 | 0.42 | 0.84 | +100% | Ian's write-up in the member area |
| Aug 20, 2026 | GOOGL Sep 11 2026 $360.00 CALLS | GOOGL $344.72 $346.96 +0.6% Stock's close before the alert (Aug 19) → Stock close on model exit date (Aug 25) | 4.25 | 2.67 | 5.50 | +106% | Ian's write-up in the member area |
| Aug 19, 2026 | RTX Sep 11 2026 $230.00 CALLS | RTX $225.49 $209.91 −6.9% Stock's close before the alert (Aug 18) → Stock close on model exit date (Aug 21) Ian's note at the close “Stopped out at the published 60% stop on 21 August.” | 3.48 | 2.09 | 0.84 | -60% | Ian's write-up in the member area |
| Aug 18, 2026 | AAPL Sep 11 2026 $310.00 CALLS | AAPL $305.59 $332.27 +8.7% Stock's close before the alert (Aug 17) → Stock close on model exit date (Sep 11) | 5.75 | 6.00 | 25.70 | +328.3% | Ian's write-up in the member area |
| Aug 10, 2026 | SMCI Sep 25 2026 $32.00 CALLS | SMCI $31.13 $43.26 +39.0% Stock's close before the alert (Aug 7) → Stock close on model exit date (Sep 25) | 3.81 | 3.85 | 11.50 | +198.7% | Ian's write-up in the member area |
| Aug 10, 2026 | NVDA Sep 11 2026 $240.00 CALLS | NVDA $223.96 $225.30 +0.6% Stock's close before the alert (Aug 7) → Stock close on model exit date (Aug 13) | 4.85 | 3.00 | 5.00 | +66.7% | Ian's write-up in the member area |
| Aug 5, 2026 | AMZN Sep 04 2026 $300.00 CALLS | AMZN $277.42 $258.51 −6.8% Stock's close before the alert (Aug 4) → Stock close at expiration (Sep 4) | 3.65 | 2.10 | 2.80 | +33% | Ian's write-up in the member area |
| Aug 4, 2026 | CRWD Aug 28 2026 $220.00 CALLS | CRWD $202.54 $218.40 +7.8% Stock's close before the alert (Aug 3) → Stock close on model exit date (Aug 28) Ian's note at the close “Has had its best quarter ever with AI paying off in a big way. More growth expected according to Morgan Stanley analyst raising CRWD stock price forecast to $328.” | 7.53 | 9.89 | 12.52 | +26.6% | Ian's write-up in the member area |
| Jul 31, 2026 | GLW Aug 14 2026 $150.00 CALLS | GLW $135.22 $165.99 +22.8% Stock's close before the alert (Jul 30) → Stock close at expiration (Aug 14) | 4.01 | n/a | 16.80 | +319% | Ian's write-up in the member area |
SPCX Nov 06 2026 $165.00 CALLS
-60%- Close before alert
- 7.65
- Entry price
- 4.70
- Model exit
- 1.88
- Max drawdown
- -60%
TSM Oct 23 2026 $500.00 CALLS
+162.3%Stock move
TSM $456.94 $485.80 +6.3%
Stock's close before the alert (Sep 29) → Stock close on model exit date (Oct 5)
- Close before alert
- 3.85
- Entry price
- 3.66
- Model exit
- 9.60
- Max drawdown
- -27.9%
AAPL Oct 09 2026 $340.00 CALLS
+150.2%Stock move
AAPL $336.13 $339.75 +1.1%
Stock's close before the alert (Sep 18) → Stock close on model exit date (Sep 22)
- Close before alert
- 5.90
- Entry price
- 4.20
- Model exit
- 10.51
- Max drawdown
- 0%
INTC Oct 09 2026 $105.00 CALLS
+241.2%Stock move
INTC $101.05 $127.39 +26.1%
Stock's close before the alert (Sep 16) → Stock close on model exit date (Sep 24)
- Close before alert
- 4.79
- Entry price
- 6.55
- Model exit
- 22.35
- Max drawdown
- 0%
ORCL Oct 23 2026 $150.00 CALLS
+103.8%Stock move
ORCL $144.79 $149.20 +3.0%
Stock's close before the alert (Sep 14) → Stock close on model exit date (Sep 22)
- Close before alert
- 6.75
- Entry price
- 5.30
- Model exit
- 10.80
- Max drawdown
- -3.8%
UBER Oct 23 2026 $75.00 CALLS
-60%Stock move
UBER $72.56 $69.22 −4.6%
Stock's close before the alert (Sep 10) → Stock close on model exit date (Sep 24)
- Close before alert
- 2.80
- Entry price
- 2.17
- Model exit
- 0.87
- Max drawdown
- -60%
DIS Oct 23 2026 $105.00 CALLS
+76.6%Stock move
DIS $104.18 $108.59 +4.2%
Stock's close before the alert (Sep 9) → Stock close on model exit date (Sep 14)
- Close before alert
- 3.54
- Entry price
- 3.51
- Model exit
- 6.20
- Max drawdown
- 0%
CRWV Oct 09 2026 $100.00 CALLS
-60%Stock move
CRWV $94.94 $88.45 −6.8%
Stock's close before the alert (Sep 9) → Stock close on model exit date (Oct 7)
- Close before alert
- 6.35
- Entry price
- 4.05
- Model exit
- 1.62
- Max drawdown
- -60%
AVGO Oct 02 2026 $380.00 CALLS
+41.7%Stock move
AVGO $357.90 $368.56 +3.0%
Stock's close before the alert (Sep 4) → Stock close on model exit date (Sep 8)
- Close before alert
- 6.64
- Entry price
- 8.75
- Model exit
- 12.40
- Max drawdown
- -7.4%
EPD Oct 09 2026 $40.00 CALLS
+48.6%Stock move
EPD $38.94 $39.32 +1.0%
Stock's close before the alert (Sep 4) → Stock close on model exit date (Sep 9)
- Close before alert
- 0.42
- Entry price
- 0.35
- Model exit
- 0.52
ANET Oct 02 2026 $200.00 CALLS
+44.4%Stock move
ANET $193.78 $206.55 +6.6%
Stock's close before the alert (Sep 4) → Stock close on model exit date (Sep 25)
- Close before alert
- 6.65
- Entry price
- 9.00
- Model exit
- 13.00
- Max drawdown
- -60%
MSFT Oct 02 2026 $520.00 CALLS
+58.2%Stock move
MSFT $496.82 $510.12 +2.7%
Stock's close before the alert (Sep 2) → Stock close on model exit date (Sep 3)
- Close before alert
- 5.80
- Entry price
- 8.06
- Model exit
- 12.75
- Max drawdown
- 0%
TSLA Oct 02 2026 $400.00 CALLS
+230%Stock move
TSLA $367.95 $376.37 +2.3%
Stock's close before the alert (Aug 31) → Stock close on model exit date (Sep 3)
- Close before alert
- 7.59
- Entry price
- 4.00
- Model exit
- 13.20
- Max drawdown
- 0%
SPCX Oct 02 2026 $145.00 CALLS
+110.8%Stock move
SPCX $141.50 $158.96 +12.3%
Stock's close before the alert (Aug 28) → Stock close on model exit date (Oct 2)
- Close before alert
- 6.85
- Entry price
- 6.95
- Model exit
- 14.65
- Max drawdown
- -54%
HOOD Oct 02 2026 $115.00 CALLS
+105.6%Stock move
HOOD $108.54 $124.72 +14.9%
Stock's close before the alert (Aug 26) → Stock close on model exit date (Sep 3)
- Close before alert
- 6.00
- Entry price
- 7.10
- Model exit
- 14.60
- Max drawdown
- -56.3%
COIN Sep 18 2026 $200.00 CALLS
+116.9%Stock move
COIN $179.48 $190.72 +6.3%
Stock's close before the alert (Aug 24) → Stock close on model exit date (Aug 27)
- Close before alert
- 5.90
- Entry price
- 4.84
- Model exit
- 10.50
SOUN Oct 02 2026 $7.50 CALLS
+100%Stock move
SOUN $7.32 $7.11 −2.9%
Stock's close before the alert (Aug 21) → Stock close on model exit date (Aug 28)
- Close before alert
- 0.62
- Entry price
- 0.42
- Model exit
- 0.84
- Max drawdown
- -14.3%
GOOGL Sep 11 2026 $360.00 CALLS
+106%Stock move
GOOGL $344.72 $346.96 +0.6%
Stock's close before the alert (Aug 19) → Stock close on model exit date (Aug 25)
- Close before alert
- 4.25
- Entry price
- 2.67
- Model exit
- 5.50
RTX Sep 11 2026 $230.00 CALLS
-60%Stock move
RTX $225.49 $209.91 −6.9%
Stock's close before the alert (Aug 18) → Stock close on model exit date (Aug 21)
Ian's note at the close
“Stopped out at the published 60% stop on 21 August.”
- Close before alert
- 3.48
- Entry price
- 2.09
- Model exit
- 0.84
AAPL Sep 11 2026 $310.00 CALLS
+328.3%Stock move
AAPL $305.59 $332.27 +8.7%
Stock's close before the alert (Aug 17) → Stock close on model exit date (Sep 11)
- Close before alert
- 5.75
- Entry price
- 6.00
- Model exit
- 25.70
SMCI Sep 25 2026 $32.00 CALLS
+198.7%Stock move
SMCI $31.13 $43.26 +39.0%
Stock's close before the alert (Aug 7) → Stock close on model exit date (Sep 25)
- Close before alert
- 3.81
- Entry price
- 3.85
- Model exit
- 11.50
NVDA Sep 11 2026 $240.00 CALLS
+66.7%Stock move
NVDA $223.96 $225.30 +0.6%
Stock's close before the alert (Aug 7) → Stock close on model exit date (Aug 13)
- Close before alert
- 4.85
- Entry price
- 3.00
- Model exit
- 5.00
AMZN Sep 04 2026 $300.00 CALLS
+33%Stock move
AMZN $277.42 $258.51 −6.8%
Stock's close before the alert (Aug 4) → Stock close at expiration (Sep 4)
- Close before alert
- 3.65
- Entry price
- 2.10
- Model exit
- 2.80
CRWD Aug 28 2026 $220.00 CALLS
+26.6%Stock move
CRWD $202.54 $218.40 +7.8%
Stock's close before the alert (Aug 3) → Stock close on model exit date (Aug 28)
Ian's note at the close
“Has had its best quarter ever with AI paying off in a big way. More growth expected according to Morgan Stanley analyst raising CRWD stock price forecast to $328.”
- Close before alert
- 7.53
- Entry price
- 9.89
- Model exit
- 12.52
GLW Aug 14 2026 $150.00 CALLS
+319%Stock move
GLW $135.22 $165.99 +22.8%
Stock's close before the alert (Jul 30) → Stock close at expiration (Aug 14)
- Close before alert
- 4.01
- Entry price
- n/a
- Model exit
- 16.80
How these figures are measured
Weekly options lose time value as expiration nears, often fastest in the final days. That loss can leave the same stock move worth less to the option late in its life.
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